Tony Awards Predictions
How our per-category model would have predicted the 2014 Tony Awards.
Prediction Report Card
3/4Musical
Correct
Our #1 pick
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder
Play
Correct
Our #1 pick
All The Way
Revival Musical
Correct
Our #1 pick
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Revival Play
Missed (#3)
Our #1 pick
The Glass Menagerie
Actual winner
A Raisin in the Sun
Best Musical
CorrectNew musicals eligible for the top musical prize.
Best Play
CorrectNew plays eligible for the top play prize.
Best Revival of a Musical
CorrectMusical revivals competing for best revival honors.
Best Revival of a Play
Missed (#3)Play revivals competing for best revival honors.
Winner: A Raisin in the Sun · We picked The Glass Menagerie
Performer & Craft Categories
Historical 2013-2014 nominees with critic scores, audience grades, and Award Score.
Best Book of a Musical
Chad Beguelin
Douglas McGrath
Woody Allen
Best Original Score
Best Actor in a Musical
Best Actress in a Musical
Best Actor in a Play
Best Actress in a Play
Best Direction of a Musical
Warren Carlyle
Michael Mayer
Leigh Silverman
Best Direction of a Play
Kenny Leon
Michael Grandage
John Tiffany
Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Best Featured Actor in a Play
Best Featured Actress in a Play
Best Choreography
Casey Nicholaw
Susan Stroman
Steven Hoggett & Kelly Devine
Best Orchestrations
Jonathan Tunick
Steve Sidwell
Doug Besterman
Jason Robert Brown
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Alexander Dodge
Santo Loquasto
Julian Crouch
Christopher Barreca
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Beowulf Boritt
Es Devlin
Christopher Oram
Bob Crowley
Best Costume Design of a Musical
Linda Cho
Isabel Toledo
William Ivey Long
Arianne Phillips
Best Costume Design of a Play
Jane Greenwood
Rita Ryack
Michael Krass
Jenny Tiramani
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Howell Binkley
Kevin Adams
Christopher Akerlind
Donald Holder
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Jane Cox
Japhy Weideman
Paule Constable
Natasha Katz
Best Sound Design of a Musical
Peter Hylenski
Brian Ronan
Tim O'Heir
Mick Potter
Best Sound Design of a Play
Dan Moses Schreier
Steve Canyon Kennedy
Matt Tierney
Alex Baranowski
Rankings are derived from aggregated critic reviews. Tony eligibility based on opening dates within the 2013-2014 season. Category classifications (new vs. revival) are subject to official Tony Awards Administration Committee rulings.
Score model updated 2026-05-16. Awards Score now uses tier-weighted precursor nominations (Drama League, OCC, Drama Desk). Backtest accuracy: 41 of 47 contests (87%) across 12 years of Tony history.