Tony Awards Predictions
How our per-category model would have predicted the 2018 Tony Awards.
Prediction Report Card
4/4Musical
Correct
Our #1 pick
The Band's Visit
Play
Correct
Our #1 pick
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Revival Musical
Correct
Our #1 pick
Once on This Island
Revival Play
Correct
Our #1 pick
Angels in America
Best Musical
CorrectNew musicals eligible for the top musical prize.
Best Play
CorrectNew plays eligible for the top play prize.
Best Revival of a Musical
CorrectMusical revivals competing for best revival honors.
Best Revival of a Play
CorrectPlay revivals competing for best revival honors.
Performer & Craft Categories
Historical 2017-2018 nominees with critic scores, audience grades, and Award Score.
Best Book of a Musical
Jennifer Lee
Kyle Jarrow
Itamar Moses
Best Original Score
Kristen Anderson-Lopez & Robert Lopez
Yolanda Adams & Sara Bareilles & Jonathan Coulton & Cyndi Lauper & Rob Hyman & John Legend & T.I. & Domani & Lil' C
Best Actor in a Musical
Best Actress in a Musical
Best Actor in a Play
Best Actress in a Play
Best Direction of a Musical
Casey Nicholaw
Bartlett Sher
Michael Arden
David Cromer
Best Direction of a Play
George C. Wolfe
Joe Mantello
Patrick Marber
Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Best Featured Actor in a Play
Best Featured Actress in a Play
Best Choreography
Steven Hoggett
Casey Nicholaw
Christopher Gattelli
Christopher Gattelli
Best Orchestrations
Jonathan Tunick
John Clancy
AnnMarie Milazzo & Michael Starobin
Tom Kitt
Jamshied Sharifi
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Finn Ross & Adam Young & Scott Pask
Michael Yeargan
Dane Laffrey
David Zinn
Scott Pask
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Jonathan Fensom
Christine Jones
Santo Loquasto
Miriam Buether
Best Costume Design of a Musical
Ann Roth
Gregg Barnes
Catherine Zuber
Clint Ramos
David Zinn
Best Costume Design of a Play
Jonathan Fensom
Katrina Lindsay
Ann Roth
Ann Roth
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Brian MacDevitt
Donald Holder
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer
Kevin Adams
Tyler Micoleau
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Paul Russell
Neil Austin
Ben Stanton
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer
Best Sound Design of a Musical
Scott Lehrer
Brian Ronan
Peter Hylenski
Walter Trarbach & Mike Dobson
Kai Harada
Best Sound Design of a Play
Tom Gibbons
Gareth Fry
Dan Moses Schreier
Adam Cork
Rankings are derived from aggregated critic reviews. Tony eligibility based on opening dates within the 2017-2018 season. Category classifications (new vs. revival) are subject to official Tony Awards Administration Committee rulings.
Score model updated 2026-05-16. Awards Score now uses tier-weighted precursor nominations (Drama League, OCC, Drama Desk). Backtest accuracy: 41 of 47 contests (87%) across 12 years of Tony history.